The Magic Of Weather Forecasting
I am sorry to report that I missed doing this blog on the birth date of the National Weather Service. Happy 146th Birthday on February 9 last.
The older folks among us grew up with the old name. From 1890 to 1970 it was known as The United States Weather Bureau.
Yes we’ve had people guessing at the weather since 1870. It must have been a real pain fighting the Civil War not having a clue what the weather might be.
Who knows, the South might have won if they knew when it was going to rain. D-Day almost never happened due to weather forecasts and rough seas.
What All Do They Do?
There are some really busy folks down at the National Weather Service. They do fire weather predictions, and Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts for aviation.
They also have a Storm Prediction Center, Weather Prediction Center National Hurricane Center, Climate Prediction Center and Ocean Prediction Center.
You’d think with all this manpower that forecasts would be pin point perfect by now.
I mean having 146 years to perfect your craft should be enough. We went from paper airplanes to jets and space travel in a shorter time.
We can predict where we’re gonna land.
Weather Or Not
There’s an old saying, “Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me, fool me 608,824 times and you’re the weatherman.”
I usually have my fingers crossed behind my back whenever I give the weather forecast on radio. I know it only has about a 30 percent chance of being accurate.
Some Final Thoughts
Weather and climate. A battle that will go on for years. Global warming, global cooling, or climate change.
Facts change and apparently the climate does too. My worry is what if we overdo it like America is always prone to do.
What if the climate really is changing and we all go back to horse and buggies and make it too cold. Could our efforts create the next ice age?
Would energy eating SUV’s and incandescent light bulbs be required to pull us away from the abyss of climate cooling?
America sucks at fairness and balance. It’s just not in our nature. Too hot too cold — who determines when the pendulum swings the other way?
Predict that and we’ll have something to talk about.